Este informe analiza una serie de Rondas de Consultas realizadas en Argentina, Brasil, México y
EEUU a fines de 2005 y principios de 2006. Fue preparado en el marco del Proyecto Regional de
Análisis Político y Escenarios Posibles (PAPEP Regional). Su ob
Autor: Jorge Castañeda
Situacion actual y perspectivas de America Latina
Este informe analiza una Ronda de Consultas realizada en México durante los meses de agosto –
setiembre de 2005. Fue preparado en el marco del Proyecto Regional de Análisis Político y
Escenarios Posibles (PAPEP Regional). Su objetivo es explorar la visi
Latin America’s New Proxy War
Sept. 25, 2006 issue – The summit of nonaligned countries held last week in Havana was an occasion for all sorts of things: speculating on Fidel Castro’s health, supporting all the “worthwhile” causes in the world—from Iran’s nuclear program to Bolivia’s
A Way to Peace in Mexico
AT last, Mexico has a president-elect. The process has been painful, protracted and rife with problems for the future. Still, the Electoral Court declared yesterday that Felipe Calderón will be the country’s new chief of state on Dec. 1.
His defeated riv
Los 68 del 68 / Agosto 30, 2006 / Reforma
El informe histórico del fiscal Carrillo Prieto sobre el 68 sigue embargado en Los Pinos. Nadie sabe cuándo será liberado, pero ya se empieza a saber qué dice. Por la situación actual, donde el uso de la fuerza por el Estado mexicano en las inminentes coyunturas conflictivas se está discutiendo, el texto contiene elementos que pueden resultar muy ilustrativos…
What Else Ends With Castro
Aug. 21-28, 2006 issue – As always in countries like Cuba, speculation is by definition idle. No one knows whether Fidel Castro is alive and well, dead or dying, recovering or permanently incapacitated. The biological outcome of the current drama in Havan
The World’s Toughest Job
This may be a long hot summer in Mexico, but the outcome seems not to be in doubt. Perhaps by only half a percentage point, possibly with huge demonstrations taking place through the end of August, with or without the vote-by-vote recount demanded by form
After Mexico’s Election
Close elections are no big deal; they happen nearly everywhere and very often. If the close July 2 vote in Mexico, my country, seems surprising and confusing, it’s simply because there have been very few real elections, close or otherwise. Most scholars w
No Need for Soul-Searching
June 19, 2006 issue – That Mexico has an election too close to call is in itself news: with the exception of the previous presidential vote in 2000, this has never happened before. Perhaps this is why it seems such a strange contest, and why the real cons
Mexico’s Sinking Front Runner
Mexico’s July 2 presidential election has all of a sudden become a tossup. Polls before last week’s debate already showed a close race; former front runner Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s decision to forego the debate clearly hurt him and confirmed his decl